AGP Executive Report
Last update: 2 hours agoNorthern Ethiopia War Update: Ethiopia’s army says it has captured Alamata, a key supply hub south of Mekelle, as fighting intensifies across Afar and Amhara and fears grow of a return to the 2020–2022 civil war. External-Backed Claims: Field Marshal Birhanu Jula accuses Eritrea, Sudan and Egypt of backing TPLF-linked forces; Sudan rejects the allegation as “baseless,” while the dispute raises the risk of wider regional escalation. Humanitarian Moves: The ICRC evacuated 161 people from conflict-affected Tigray to Semera in Afar, amid reports of renewed strikes and mounting displacement. Diplomacy to Salvage the Peace: The UN and AU urged former Nigerian President Olusegun Obasanjo to revive mediation and push parties back to direct talks under the 2022 cessation of hostilities. Red Sea and Trade Pressure: A security assessment warns that Bab el-Mandeb risk is rising and could hit Ethiopia indirectly through the Djibouti corridor, with logistics shocks and higher costs. EU Engagement: President Taye Atske Selassie met EU officials on peace, security and economic cooperation in the Horn. Regional Economy and Infrastructure: Ethiopia reiterated sea-access and integration priorities at HoAI talks, while Dangote-backed plans for a $660m Ethiopia–Djibouti fuel pipeline underline the push to reduce logistics bottlenecks.
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